The Packers Kicked a Field Goal With 2:09 Left. Why?
Ben Shpigel�� Reporting on the N.F.L. playoffs
Frank Frigo, a co-founder of EdjSports, which provides predictive tools to several N.F.L. teams, said LaFleur’s decision wasn’t mathematically defensible.
“It’s about a 3 percent error, which may not seem like a lot, but the issue is that their win probability is already so low because of the situation they’re in, down 8,” Frigo said Sunday night. “What they’re really doing is dropping from 10 or 11 percent down to 7 or 8 percent, which is pretty significant.”
Even if the Packers did not score a touchdown, he said, they would have pinned the Bucs in poor field position.
